Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000585 0.000667 0.000754 0.000852 0.000961 0.001077 0.001210
2025-11-02 0.000460 0.000574 0.000702 0.000858 0.001041 0.001246 0.001495
2025-11-09 0.000390 0.000517 0.000669 0.000860 0.001092 0.001363 0.001702
2025-11-16 0.000324 0.000455 0.000618 0.000831 0.001100 0.001424 0.001840
2025-11-23 0.000274 0.000407 0.000577 0.000809 0.001110 0.001482 0.001972
2025-11-30 0.000241 0.000375 0.000555 0.000805 0.001140 0.001563 0.002131
2025-12-07 0.000215 0.000350 0.000537 0.000805 0.001171 0.001645 0.002292
2025-12-14 0.000190 0.000324 0.000514 0.000796 0.001189 0.001708 0.002429
2025-12-21 0.000167 0.000298 0.000491 0.000783 0.001200 0.001760 0.002551
2025-12-28 0.000157 0.000291 0.000492 0.000805 0.001259 0.001878 0.002764
2026-01-04 0.000146 0.000280 0.000488 0.000818 0.001305 0.001979 0.002956
2026-01-11 0.000131 0.000262 0.000472 0.000810 0.001322 0.002039 0.003091
2026-01-18 0.000116 0.000244 0.000453 0.000799 0.001332 0.002090 0.003217
2026-01-25 0.000107 0.000234 0.000447 0.000807 0.001369 0.002181 0.003401
2026-02-01 0.000098 0.000222 0.000437 0.000807 0.001396 0.002257 0.003565
2026-02-08 0.000085 0.000202 0.000411 0.000780 0.001379 0.002267 0.003634
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000185 0.000390 0.000759 0.001369 0.002288 0.003717
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000175 0.000379 0.000756 0.001387 0.002349 0.003861
2026-03-01 0.000061 0.000167 0.000371 0.000755 0.001409 0.002416 0.004016
2026-03-08 0.000055 0.000156 0.000359 0.000747 0.001417 0.002462 0.004138
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000146 0.000345 0.000734 0.001418 0.002497 0.004244
2026-03-22 0.000047 0.000145 0.000349 0.000755 0.001475 0.002621 0.004488
2026-03-29 0.000045 0.000141 0.000349 0.000768 0.001518 0.002724 0.004701